Calling for benefit–risk evaluations of Covid-19 control measures

Re:Calling for benefit–risk evaluations of Covid-19 control ... by 1experience on Sunday February 21, 2021 @09:16PM (#26219989)

> I think this was a valid mindset last March when we had little trusted data

Ordinary people had little trusted data.

Experts had data from cruise ships showing a low infection fatality rate [1], data from the first quarantined cities in Italy showing 60% of asymptomaticity[2], data showing that the average Covid victim is 80 years old and has three comorbidities[3].

[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00885-w [2] https://www.repubblica.it/salute/medicina-e-ricerca/2020/03/... [3] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-tho...

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Calling for benefit–risk evaluations of Covid-19 control ... by belltaco on Sunday February 21, 2021 @10:28PM (#26220539)

>data from the first quarantined cities in Italy showing 60% of asymptomaticity[2]

Asympomaticity or pre-symptomacity?

>Experts had data from cruise ships showing a low infection fatality rate [1], data from the first quarantined cities in Italy showing 60% of asymptomaticity[2], data showing that the average Covid victim is 80 years old and has three comorbidities[3].

Yet Italy had crowded ICUs and Sweden had to beg neighboring countries to take some ICU patients from them. It'd have been all much much worse without lockdown. Your CFR assumes good critical care.

[ Parent | on HN ]