Re:Making Vaccine
by maxerickson on Friday February 05, 2021 @06:15PM
(#26042426)
It lists the total population for each age group. Just the 35 to 44 age group is above 99.98% (given the death counts in younger age groups it's obviously still true if you include them in the calculation):
(1-7057/41659144)*100=99.983%
I expect the individual probability of surviving infection is not that high for each member of the group though. It's not clear if that meaning is intended anywhere above.
Re:Making Vaccine
by dragontamer on Friday February 05, 2021 @07:58PM
(#26043099)
> 41659144
That's the total population of all 35 to 44 year olds in all of the USA.
> 99.983%
That's 0.02% of all 35 to 44 year olds have died, including those who never had COVID. IN ONE MONTH, not including the people who died two months ago, or 3 months ago.
Re:Making Vaccine
by maxerickson on Friday February 05, 2021 @08:02PM
(#26043134)
"from 1/1/2020 to 1/30/2021"
It's for the entire period of the pandemic.
You are correct in pointing out that it isn't looking at deaths/infection.
Re:Making Vaccine
by dragontamer on Monday February 08, 2021 @04:30PM
(#26070427)
I do appreciate the correction by the way.
I doubt that. But I'm not entirely sure how to calculate the numbers you just said.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
I realize this page changes, so I've taken a screenshot here: https://imgur.com/0iM5FHC
This is the chart of who died in January 2021. Yes, most deaths are aged 65+, but there's been deaths in all age categories. I doubt its 99.98% as you suggest (especially since the current case-mortality-rate is ~2.5%, at least for my state)
The official CDC numbers are stratified from 35 to 44, I'm not entirely sure who you are citing to get "below 40" age groups.