I don't have an anti for Balicer, so I don't care if his models are right-or-wrong. It's natural to have mistakes, and changing position after 'only' 3 days is fine enough. I also agree that we heard some good news, but I do think that the 95% RRR is relevant - people who have a strong enough immune reaction to make the disease asymptomatic are people who have been protected. Once enough people have been protected, than hospital burden will go down and Israel could manage this thing.