Re:SpaceX Starlink Mission #17 [video]
by nickik on Wednesday January 20, 2021 @07:12PM
(#25853646)
I not arguing about design uncertainty, rather production uncertainty. A failure in the production is more likely to fail on the first flight then the 3rd.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
I don’t think reliability theory, particularly in aerospace, supports this claim unless the quality control is lacking. To be fair, SpaceX has had quality issues in the past but they seem to learn quickly from it.
To reiterate, the hazard rate tends to increase with service life. So as components age, there is an increased risk of failure.