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A comment on Bumble S-1. Parent comment

Re:Bumble S-1 by tedsanders on Friday January 15, 2021 @03:07PM (#25795642)
The reason excess deaths are only 3x higher is because of our precautions. If we let it burn through the US, millions would die and the ratio would be more like 100x (30,000 vs 3 million). Obviously depends on some hard-to-model assumptions. Your conclusion might be right, but your argument is terribly misleading.

(Plus, letting it burn through the whole population comes with downside risks of more mutations.)

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Re:Bumble S-1 by shoguning on Friday January 15, 2021 @03:12PM (#25795715)
> The reason excess deaths are only 3x higher is because of our precautions.

It's a hard case to make. Sweden for example has had less excess death than harsher lockdown countries like Spain & UK.

Lockdowns have done little if anything in US states. New York and Florida have similar stats (worse in NY if anything).

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Re:Bumble S-1 by scarmig on Friday January 15, 2021 @04:10PM (#25796539)
On the other hand, it has a very high number of excess deaths compared to Norway, Denmark, Finland, which are perhaps more comparable countries.
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