I don’t see a reason why they couldn’t get a model 3 down to $25K by 2025 it might be a bit hard but if they actually start to manufacture cars like a proper car manufacturer and they won’t require so much manual labor and complex welds and improve the economy of scales on their batteries it might be quite possible to hit that target especially if you consider that the price of the self driving hardware could considerably drop too especially if they move towards custom silicon.