Re:The Capitol Attack Doesn’t Justify Expanding Surveillance
by anchpop on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:39AM
(#25711994)
It still works out if we assume young people are just as likely as old men to be killed by police. Restricting us to young people would probably reduce the denominator of "300/19740000" enough to counteract the fact that the exponent of "69" is reduced.
In fact, if you assume that people are young for x% of their lives, and x% of black people are young, this exactly cancels out and you still get `0.001048` odds of being killed by police.
→ 0.999984802431611 chance of not-being-killed-by-police per year.
pow(0.999984802431611, 69) = 0.998951909443727 chance of never being killed by police.
→ 0.001048090556273 chance of at some point being killed by police
→ just over 1/1000 over a lifetime.
The math checks out... if we ignore the "young" part.