CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate targets, study finds

Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by beervirus on Thursday January 07, 2021 @08:56PM (#25680459)

We barely understand it, but yet we’re confident in the dozens of computer models of it that climatologists use that give varying results?

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Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by pmiller2 on Thursday January 07, 2021 @09:47PM (#25680894)

Except they don't give varying results. 10/14 models with published surface temperature predictions since the 1970s were statistically indistinguishable from reality: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/12/even-50-year-old-cli...

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Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by 8note on Thursday January 07, 2021 @09:01PM (#25680510)

So far those models have been way too optimistic about things not being as bad, so my current priors would expect things to be worse than models say

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Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by beervirus on Saturday January 09, 2021 @12:46PM (#25702506)

That’s a funny way of saying “I trust them because they were wrong.”

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Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by imtringued on Friday January 08, 2021 @03:27AM (#25682753)

It only takes a glance at CO2 levels. You don't even have to predict anything to know that things are going to end badly.

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Re:CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate target... by beervirus on Friday January 08, 2021 @12:16PM (#25686971)

You don't have to predict anything to predict what's going to happen?

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