But there is a political subtext here. The red team is rooting for it to be China because it plays into a "Trump was right that China is a problem" narrative and coincides with the Hunter Biden thing and also the recent scandal about Congressman Swalwell (D-CA) having a relationship with a Chinese spy. The blue team correspondingly wants it to be not-China and thereby benefits from preemptively asserting that it was Russia.
This unfortunately makes it less likely that we'll ever know because it's hard enough to figure it out when there isn't a political motive for both sides to fudge the answer.
It's really the other way around, there are a lot of people claiming that it was Russia without any apparent evidence:
https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1339560149799854081
But there is a political subtext here. The red team is rooting for it to be China because it plays into a "Trump was right that China is a problem" narrative and coincides with the Hunter Biden thing and also the recent scandal about Congressman Swalwell (D-CA) having a relationship with a Chinese spy. The blue team correspondingly wants it to be not-China and thereby benefits from preemptively asserting that it was Russia.
This unfortunately makes it less likely that we'll ever know because it's hard enough to figure it out when there isn't a political motive for both sides to fudge the answer.