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A comment on San Mateo County Health Officer Statement on Bay Area Stay-at-Home Orders. Parent comment

Re:San Mateo County Health Officer Statement on Bay Area Sta... by p4coder on Tuesday December 08, 2020 @11:52AM (#25347828)
I simply did percent_dead times num_dead/percent_cases times num_cases. That leads to ~0.5%. I agree with you that IFR is unknowable without very thorough sero-survey. So all we have is CFR to go on. The ratio depends on population age and test availability etc.
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Re:San Mateo County Health Officer Statement on Bay Area Sta... by p4coder on Thursday December 10, 2020 @12:40PM (#25376194)
This is a great thread [1] that goes through the IFR estimation and relative risk of dying due to COVID for various age groups. Bad news for me (45-54 age group) my risk of dying goes up to 1.7x if I get covid.

[1] https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1336841354253541377

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