Re:Major Flaws of Human Thinking
by esc_colon_q on Saturday December 05, 2020 @09:53PM
(#25320610)
Bayes has you covered, if your priors rank something as exceptionally likely or unlikely, then you probably shouldn't pay much attention to new information (especially when it's from some random person and carries a high likelihood of being misleading).
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, etc.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, etc.