What we can learn from the latest indoor dining study

Re:What we can learn from the latest indoor dining study by IronRanger on Saturday December 05, 2020 @01:51AM (#25312427)

There was no spike in deaths in November in Sweden: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps

Weekly snapshots are too volatile. If everyone who was going to die in March dies in the first week of March, but none die in the remaining three weeks, this will show a death spike whilst the number of monthly deaths is unchanged. If someone at the end of their natural lifespan dies a few weeks earlier or later than usual, this is not a national concern.

2019 was a weak flu season.

We need to examine this data across broader time scales to avoid the hysteria we are currently experiencing.

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Re:What we can learn from the latest indoor dining study by PaulDavisThe1st on Saturday December 05, 2020 @10:38AM (#25315297)

That claim about deaths in November in Sweden is not supported by the data collected by Johns Hopkins.

Kevin Drum puts together a daily chart showing 7 day rolling averages deaths-per-million attributable to COVID19. Here's a recent one:

https://www.motherjones.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/blog_...

from:

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/12/coronavirus-g...

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Re:What we can learn from the latest indoor dining study by pwinnski on Monday December 07, 2020 @01:01PM (#25334873)

This is incorrect, as another response shows.

One elderly person dying a month or two early is generally not a national concern.

Many people dying months or years early generally is.

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