> However, if the (AlphaFold-adjusted) trend in the above figure were to continue, then perhaps in two CASPs, i.e. four years, we’ll actually get to a point where the problem can be called solved, in terms of gross topology (mean GDT_TS ~ 85% or so). Interesting prediction within.

It turned out only to be one more year instead of four (depending on whether getting to the 90~ range is "solved".

I'm curious to see if AlphaFold can do even better the next two years.

Those last mile percentages always tend to be small anyway.