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Re:Increase in Bitcoin Addresses as More People Join the BTC... by arcticbull on Friday November 20, 2020 @11:56AM (#25162280)
> Are you sure you got the right username? You sound more of a bear than a bull.

Well played, I upvoted you in no small part because of your wordplay there :)

I see no point in building anything backed by proof of waste, it’s simply not a reasonable value proposition. It’s like trying to build coal fired cars. Yes you’ll build a car, but it’ll be wildly less efficient and strictly worse than all alternatives. That eliminates a good 90% of crypto currencies by market cap. Setting aside for a second that the market cap of a currency is a nonsensical metric, currencies are what you measure market cap in not of.

Permissionless and irreversible are not things humans want or benefit from. Permissionless is what has allowed North Korea to fund its nuclear program with billions of dollars of cryptocurrency. It’s what allows ransomware authors to get paid and shut down schools and hospitals. It’s what allows laundering the proceeds of crime. It’s what allows rampant market manipulation.

Decentralized prevents the currency from responding to externalities like births, and deaths, and pandemics.

And that really knocks out the rest.

The reality is trust is a huge optimization.

Beyond that most solutions are cheaper, faster, simpler and map better onto human fallibility if implemented as a MySQL table in RDS. Then you can secure it with a Merkel tree and call it a day.

No, I’m not bullish on crypto because it has yet to, in 12 years, do anything better than what’s out there today except separate suckers from their money. It’s great at that. And this is in spite of some of the smartest minds in the world working day and night to do so. If a single crypto product shows even a 1% improvement over a classical implementation along any axis I’ll eat my ... er, hat (yes, that’s a John McAffee reference) and buy your bitcoins at what I’m confident will be a dramatically higher price.

> You may not care about your freedom and self-reliance, but it ABSOLUTELY makes a difference.

There’s no such thing, we live in a society.

So, I guess, I respectfully disagree but always appreciate hearing the other side.

Re:Increase in Bitcoin Addresses as More People Join the BTC... by rglullis on Friday November 20, 2020 @01:22PM (#25163246)
Let's make a tally of analysis based on current implementation instead of potential of the technology, shall we?

> backed by proof of waste

Already claiming that PoW is the only possible approach. Off to a good start.

> Yes you’ll build a car, but it’ll be wildly less efficient and strictly worse than all alternatives.

The first electric light bulb was certainly less efficient than candles or oil lamps. The first airplanes could barely carry the pilot. Should we give up work on new technology simply because the current iteration is not better than the status quo? What a lame attitude.

> That eliminates a good 90% of crypto currencies by market cap.

You said it yourself. Market cap is a bullshit metric from the perspective of the technology. Irrelevant to the argument.

What is relevant is that a good number of these different currencies are trying different approaches to solve different problems, or trying to implement different financial models, different levels of centralizations/trust, and so on. For every aspect of Bitcoin that you criticized, there has been a different project that tries to overcome that. Yet, you completely ignore it just because it is easier to look at what is wrong in the present instead of working to fix things for the future.

> Permissionless and irreversible are not things humans want or benefit from

Contradicted by the amount of people putting their time, energy and money on. YOU don't want it, fine. YOU don't speak for everyone.

> North Korea, ransomware, money laundering.

FUD and bullshit. Do you blame the use of petrol for enabling Al-Qaeda or left-wing dictatorships in Venezuela? You are very well aware that money laundering already existed before crypto. Have you renounced your use of banking systems because of all the drug and weapon traffickers that used HSBC to launder money for so long?

Criminal activity and the need for spending resources in security is never going to go away.

> Decentralized prevents the currency from responding to externalities like births, and deaths, and pandemics.

Okay, that's the third statement based on the current implementation. Hat-trick!

> The reality is trust is a huge optimization.

Definitely! No serious person would challenge that. No serious person would also challenge that systems that are too optimized are more likely to fail in unpredictable ways and collapse after Black Swans.

This is why decentralization is important. It's not about efficiency, it's about hedging bets to improve our chance of surviving catastrophes.

> has yet to, in 12 years, do anything better than what’s out there today

That's FOUR! This kid is on fire...

> There’s no such thing, we live in a society.

Societies. Plural. To be honest, I am more concerned about people that want to establish an "universal" society than I fear all of the scammers that try to exploit people in crypto.

Re:Increase in Bitcoin Addresses as More People Join the BTC... by arcticbull on Friday November 20, 2020 @01:43PM (#25163477)
> Already claiming that PoW is the only possible approach. Off to a good start.

I didn't, I tackled the most prominent first.

> Contradicted by the amount of people putting their time, energy and money on. YOU don't want it, fine. YOU don't speak for everyone.

I think you misunderstand. Many people put their time and energy into it because it's overwhelmingly a get-rich-quick scheme. If the price went down to $1/BTC you can bet your behind nobody would care at all anymore.

> FUD and bullshit. Do you blame the use of petrol for enabling Al-Qaeda or left-wing dictatorships in Venezuela? You are very well aware that money laundering already existed before crypto. Have you renounced your use of banking systems because of all the drug and weapon traffickers that used HSBC to launder money for so long? Criminal activity and the need for spending resources in security is never going to go away.

I do, which is why I believe in technology that can make the problem better instead of technology which surrenders to the criminals and walks away.

> Okay, that's the third statement based on the current implementation. Hat-trick!

Sure, if you pretend there's some platonic ideal cryptocurrency that doesn't have any problems, and is perfectly efficient, why not? I'll be waiting for OP to deliver.

> FUD and bullshit.

Not if you decided to look for information. $2 billion dollars and counting as documented by a pro-crypto news source. [1]

That's the definition of permissionless. Many pro-crypto folks hold this up as an example of crypto working properly! "Why should we allow America decide who can and can't spend money! Iranians and North Koreans should be able to conduct commerce internationally too!"

> Societies. Plural. To be honest, I am more concerned about people that want to establish an "universal" society than I fear all of the scammers that try to exploit people in crypto.

You misinterpreted. That expression implies we each live in our respective societies but that nobody is self-sufficient.

[1] https://cointelegraph.com/magazine/2020/10/09/north-korean-c...

Re:Increase in Bitcoin Addresses as More People Join the BTC... by rglullis on Friday November 20, 2020 @02:18PM (#25163848)
I was buying and selling BTC when they were less than $7. I have a wallet with multi-hundred BTC transactions and would make some newcomer cry thinking "how could he give this all away?". I will tell them that this mentality is backwards: if people were not willing to spend hundreds of BTC 7 years ago, it wouldn't have gone anywhere to the level it is today. I will continue to use it to buy whatever I can. If you find my discussions on various crypto subreddits, you will find me arguing that focusing on price of token X or project Y should be the last of people's concerns and to focus on how to make the tech more useful than the system it is trying to replace.

You may have a lot of people on the hodl camp, but a lot of people are like me - less worried about lambos and more focused on ensuring that we can create feasible alternatives to the status quo.

Yes, there will be a vast majority of people that are in it for the short-term gain. It doesn't matter. Every market needs to have speculators. I will still be focused on the long term.

I am not betting my life savings on it and I am not recommending anyone to do so. What I am telling people though is that crypto will be a fundamental part of how groups of people coordinate themselves and allocate their resources, and that the sooner they start getting acquainted to it the easier it will be when it is more mature for wider adoption.

> North Korea... $2 billion dollars and counting as documented by a pro-crypto news source.

I am aware of the story, this is not what I am calling FUD. What I am saying is that you are using crypto as a scapegoat. State-sponsored terrorists can cause damage regardless of them being financed by crypto, gold, oil or greenbacks.

Black markets were not invented with crypto. Money laundering is estimated to be between 800 billion to 2 trillion dollars. Those were the number before crypto, yet you make it sound like BTC, ETH, ZEC and Monero are the Four Horsemen of Apocalypse. THAT is what I am calling FUD and BS.

> platonic ideal currency

I know it will never be perfect. No implementation of any system ever is. But the only way to have something better than the existing flawed solutions is to iterate, use it, test it in the real world and keep improving.

To make an analogy with Free Software: I know that is never going to be perfect or satisfy every use case, but its flaws are on the implementation side, not the principle. The more I use and the more I contribute to it, the less people get to be dependent on proprietary crap.

What you are saying is that people should not bother working on making a better Free Software Desktop because the current systems are not as "usable" as Apple and likely will never be. That is, quite frankly, a horrible way to live.