Prediction Markets Beat Polls

Re:Prediction Markets Beat Polls by nstj on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @02:01AM (#25133940)

what’s a ‘balanced’ contract?

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Re:Prediction Markets Beat Polls by virgilp on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @02:44AM (#25134139)

I would be guessing that it's one where equal amounts of money are bet on each side/ there's a 50% probability of the result going either way.

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Re:Prediction Markets Beat Polls by IfOnlyYouKnew on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @01:23PM (#25140353)

A market where expected returns are 1, I. e. the implied probabilities sum to 100%

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