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Re:Prediction Markets Beat Polls by dragonwriter on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @07:40PM (#25131798)
That would explain change over time, but it has problem with why the problem disappears in between 2016 and 2018 and returns in 2020, so even if it is accurate, it seems to be incomplete.
Re:Prediction Markets Beat Polls by JamesBarney on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @01:48AM (#25133878)
I think the explanation is basically they corrected for the first problem that happened in 2016 in 2018, but the second problem didn't appear until 2020.