Re:No excess deaths in Sweden compared to the last ten years
by sdenton4 on Monday November 16, 2020 @02:48PM
(#25116140)
Yeah, posting this with a different title from the page is forcing an editorialized view onto data which just doesn't support the title. There's no way to tell excess deaths from this one incomplete chart. I've flagged the post as a result.
That said, 12/10 * 77.5k = 92.7k, which is at the high end for the charted period. Adding an extra month's worth of late reports gives 13/10 * 77.5k = 100.5k. So, probably reasonable to guess that the real deaths are somewhere between these two, which definitely doesn't support the 'no excess deaths' claim in the post title.
It would be nice to see something closer to the CDC's ongoing excess deaths tracking:
That said, 12/10 * 77.5k = 92.7k, which is at the high end for the charted period. Adding an extra month's worth of late reports gives 13/10 * 77.5k = 100.5k. So, probably reasonable to guess that the real deaths are somewhere between these two, which definitely doesn't support the 'no excess deaths' claim in the post title.
It would be nice to see something closer to the CDC's ongoing excess deaths tracking:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm