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A comment on Moderna Covid vaccine candidate almost 95% effective, trials show. Parent comment

Re:Moderna Covid vaccine candidate almost 95% effective, tri... by cornedor on Monday November 16, 2020 @10:30AM (#25112875)
Indeed, I know two people that went to the hospital because they thought it was covid, but in both cases it was pulmonary embolism, which has very similar symptoms. I'm not even close to a medical expert, but I wouldn't be surprised that because of less physical movement due to being home more, embolisms are more common.
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Re:Moderna Covid vaccine candidate almost 95% effective, tri... by kspacewalk2 on Monday November 16, 2020 @01:42PM (#25115352)
And if you only use raw disease incidence[0] as your prior, you're approximately just as likely (-ish?) to have pulmonary embolism. This obviously does not include other very important priors, like age, exact symptom list or incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in your area right now.

[0] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3718593/

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