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A comment on Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now. Parent comment

Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by yongjik on Friday November 13, 2020 @02:06AM (#25079781)
> We can't even predict weather very well beyond 2 weeks.

But we can confidently predict that most of Europe will have higher temperature nine months from now. Also, California will be dry.

Sometimes large-scale predictions are easier because you're not concerned with small-scale noise.

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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by haltingproblem on Friday November 13, 2020 @02:33AM (#25079951)
Seasonal cycles do not require a model. The discussion here is about weather and climate models.
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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by adrianN on Friday November 13, 2020 @08:41AM (#25082002)
I'm pretty sure that the Earth going round the Sun and the Earth's axis being slightly tilted counts as a model using which you can predict the seasons.
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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by haltingproblem on Friday November 13, 2020 @11:09AM (#25083687)
You are not wrong in arguing that the Copernican model is also a model. I think the discussion here is about computational stochastic models.

I also don't really need a model to predict warming in the summer and cooling in the winter. A lookup table should suffice.

Edit: Can't believe parent is getting downvoted for asking a question that people disagree with.

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