Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now

Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by ordu on Friday November 13, 2020 @12:47AM (#25079325)

There is nothing wrong with running model in any way a researcher wish. It would be wrong to make predictions about a real system, without studying validity of that prediction.

Authors clearly state "an earth system model shows ..." not the "Earth is going to melt". They say "we encourage other model builders to explore our discovery in their (bigger) models, and report on their findings."

Authors work with their model, use it to calculate some results, they do not pretend, that the results are the Truth. Authors know what validity is, they ask others to take a look at it.

Nothing wrong with it.

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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by karmakaze on Friday November 13, 2020 @12:00PM (#25084326)

Abbreviated original title is better than the editorialized one: "An earth system model shows self-sustained melting of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020"

Or shortened to "Earth model shows self-sustained melting of permafrost if emissions stop now"

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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by OneGuy123 on Friday November 13, 2020 @03:23AM (#25080246)

Ofcourse the pretend that the results are truth: otherwise they wouldn't post it.

If the actually truly understood that they cannot predict climate so far along in the future they wouldn't bother posting.

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Re:Estimated 3° Warming by 2500 if we cut all emissions now by adrianN on Friday November 13, 2020 @08:43AM (#25082021)

Where in the paper do they claim that? I couldn't find that.

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