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A comment on One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong. Parent comment

Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong by ttesttom on Wednesday November 11, 2020 @12:30AM (#25055756)
This is inaccurate based on latest elections. There isn't full data for 2020 but in 2016 college educated voted Dem +9.

"In the 2016 election, a wide gap in presidential preferences emerged between those with and without a college degree. College graduates backed Clinton by a 9-point margin (52%-43%), while those without a college degree backed Trump 52%-44%. This is by far the widest gap in support among college graduates and non-college graduates in exit polls dating back to 1980."

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/behind-trum...

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Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong by Retric on Wednesday November 11, 2020 @06:58AM (#25057622)
Trump had unusual support among the uneducated and a strong dislike among the educated. Presumably from his long run on TV. Here are some more typical results.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/results/president/exi...

  No college degree Obama: 51%
  Some college Obama: 49%. 
  College Romney: 51%
  Postgrad. Obama: 55%
Though this varies by election with the numbers moving a little based on who wins. Obama had a large popular vote lead which flipped the some collage group.

PS: Split tickets in 2020 are another indicator of more topical voting behavior.

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Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong by pasttense01 on Wednesday November 11, 2020 @01:07AM (#25055935)
On the other hand from that source white college graduates backed Trump by a 4 point margin.
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