Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by throwaway201103 on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @04:24PM
(#25052147)
Considering the trend for people to be socially canceled, scorned, and shamed for supporting the "wrong" candidate, yes I think exit polling (and all polling for that matter) are not working. People are much more likely to either decline to respond, or they will lie.
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Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by rootusrootus on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @05:04PM
(#25052647)
> or they will lie
Apparently that isn't a problem. Yet. But non-response is.
Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by recursive on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @05:15PM
(#25052772)
I think mail-in ballots are a much bigger problem for exit polling than fear of being cancelled.
I cite no sources, just a hunch.
Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by _AzMoo on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @11:15PM
(#25055454)
They are actually both problems. The fear of being "cancelled" due to poll responses is called the Bradley Effect and definitely does apply to exit polls: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect#Exit_polling