Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by tshaddox on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @03:58PM
(#25051809)
What are we calling "urban" here? More than 80% of Americans live in urban areas. Are we using a circular definition of "urban" that means "big cities with a large Democrat majority"?
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Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by dragonwriter on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @04:14PM
(#25052015)
> What are we calling "urban" here? More than 80% of Americans live in urban areas.
By the census definitions, which don't separate out suburban as a separate category, but encompass what would normally be thought of that way as part of urban. If you look at the urban core counties in the Pew list below and a by-county election map of the US, there's a pretty close correlation, visually at least.
https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2020/07/29/prior-to-covid-19...
Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by webmaven on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @04:11PM
(#25051971)
> What are we calling "urban" here? More than 80% of Americans live in urban areas. Are we using a circular definition of "urban" that means "big cities with a large Democrat majority"?
Urban mostly means "denser than suburban tracts of single-family homes".