Re:One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got it wrong
by dragonwriter on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @03:56PM
(#25051796)
> When and where was the last poll that predicted an election accurately?
Polls don't purport to predict elections; though people do poll-based forecasts.
538, for instance, does a lot of them every cycle. And seems to be fairly close on the odds, though generally the most-likely predicted outcome occurs at a slightly higher rate than their predictions.
Polls don't purport to predict elections; though people do poll-based forecasts.
538, for instance, does a lot of them every cycle. And seems to be fairly close on the odds, though generally the most-likely predicted outcome occurs at a slightly higher rate than their predictions.