Re:Covid vaccine: First ‘milestone’ vaccine offers 90% prote...
by 1123581321 on Monday November 09, 2020 @10:51AM
(#25035981)
Correct; the prices are based on the sum of all information, which is a list we do not have. And “the market” is of course a basket of individual prices, which are not measured the same by everyone.
I could say the markets are up due to the vaccine news, or because the US election was called and people are seeking stability, or because the US election was called and the market prefers biden, or because investors are pricing in a Trump 2024 run, or because people just expected it to go up after any of those things, or because a collection of automated trading bots saw some arcane pattern in the data which has no real-world relevancy but they nevertheless have been trained to buy. None of those predictions are falsifiable.