Re:Election Battleground State Changes
by nicklevin on Thursday November 05, 2020 @05:58PM
(#25003029)
I also see 3 blocks in PA of 25k+ votes with 90%+ Biden (one is 97%) - can someone better at statistics tell me how likely that is due to chance given the other values (assuming the data is reporting accurately)?
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Election Battleground State Changes
by shalmanese on Friday November 06, 2020 @12:52AM
(#25005284)
Some districts in Philadelphia are extremely blue. 59 districts there had 0 votes for Romney in 2012: https://www.inquirer.com/philly/news/politics/20121112_In_59...
Expected. Last time round, Clinton got 82% in Philadelphia. And mail-in voting was majority Democratic in most places this year.
You'll see similar, on the face of it absurd numbers in the other direction in very red areas for the in-person vote, where the few Democrats available mostly voted by mail, so virtually everyone voting in person voted for Trump.
Re:Election Battleground State Changes
by Analemma_ on Thursday November 05, 2020 @06:27PM
(#25003245)
Philadelphia normally goes for the Democratic candidate by around 80%, and mail-in voters this year are disproportionately Democratic, so it is not unusual that some blocks of main-in ballots in Philadelphia county would be 90% Biden. Note that the total vote (mail-in + election day) in Philadelphia county for Biden is exactly 80%, so there doesn't seem to be anything anomalous here.
[dead]
Re:Election Battleground State Changes
by Rebelgecko on Thursday November 05, 2020 @06:30PM
(#25003270)
Is there a pundit who is still alive and uses that as a pseudonym?
Re:Election Battleground State Changes
by googthrowaway42 on Thursday November 05, 2020 @07:35PM
(#25003681)
It's a reference to the famous (perhaps misattributed) quote from Stalin: "Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count the votes decide everything."