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A comment on Nassim Taleb vs. Nate Silver: who is right about election forecasting?. Parent comment

Re:Nassim Taleb vs. Nate Silver: who is right about election... by dragonwriter on Tuesday November 03, 2020 @01:41AM (#24977017)
The 89% probability of victory is the result of the actual predicted electoral vote total and the uncertainty in that prediction.

Placing an additional uncertainty on the uncertainty is...very much not understanding uncertainty.

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Re:Nassim Taleb vs. Nate Silver: who is right about election... by stopachka on Tuesday November 03, 2020 @04:53PM (#24984441)
In this case, Taleb's argument stands: 89% implies way too little uncertainty
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