If that's the standard, full self-driving won't become a thing for another 50 years at minimum if not longer, because not only is it a crazy high target, the lack of data and improvements brought by real-world usage would hamstring development — there's not but so far test tracks and single-city pilots can go.

It's a lot like the "old space" approach to spacecraft engineering, spending decades and hundreds of billions of dollars to develop a rocket that would've been cutting edge half a century ago, all in pursuit of making the initial product perfect.