Swedish skeptic of "the Tegnell/Swedish approach" here: I trust the numbers, but there's a delay in reporting the deaths - it takes at least 10 days to get ~95% of them. There are multiple checks/tests at various stages and it takes time.

Takeaway: Don't trust the latest week's death numbers from Sweden, but trust the ones before that.

The elder care homes etc have gotten a lot better at protecting the people living there.

Having said that, I'm just waiting for things to explode again - and it just takes a few elder care homes to get infected for lots of people to die.