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A comment on Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Fivethirtyeight forecast. Parent comment

Re:Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Five... by Balgair on Sunday October 25, 2020 @03:15PM (#24889042)
Nit: Have they counted for the possibility of a tie? US elections allow for a tie in the Electoral College (which then kicks off a supremely strange and legalistic process).
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Re:Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Five... by Jabbles on Sunday October 25, 2020 @03:19PM (#24889086)
Before commenting you could at least search for the word "tie":

The probability of an electoral-college tie is <1%

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Re:Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Five... by Balgair on Sunday October 25, 2020 @04:11PM (#24889486)
Not everyone can read that little grey font as well as the next person. I guess I apologize for my poor eyesight then.
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Re:Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Five... by cwhiz on Sunday October 25, 2020 @03:18PM (#24889075)
I can’t speak for all models but I do know that the 538 model accounts for a tie.
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