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A comment on Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Fivethirtyeight forecast. Parent comment

Re:Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Five... by shajznnckfke on Sunday October 25, 2020 @01:43PM (#24888215)
If there was sufficient data to assign a 0% or 100% probability to an event, that’s what a forecaster should do. If there isn’t sufficient data, then anyone who claims there is a sure thing is a charlatan.
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