Re:The false promise of herd immunity for Covid-19
by rurban on Sunday October 25, 2020 @04:45AM
(#24884786)
> a) reinfections
The rate of reinfections is neglegible.
> b) allowing an epidemic to run wild creates conditions for it to mutate and change in unpredictable ways, including becoming more deadly and damaging than what it is right now.
Unscientific. In fact followup mutations in such an epidemic always mutate to less severe variants (lower IFR) with sometimes higher infection rates (higher R). Because the patient doesn't recognize it as such, and therefore it can spread more.
The mutations loose critical parts all over.
Damaging is the only the reemergence of the cold weather, people staying inside.
The rate of reinfections is neglegible.
> b) allowing an epidemic to run wild creates conditions for it to mutate and change in unpredictable ways, including becoming more deadly and damaging than what it is right now.
Unscientific. In fact followup mutations in such an epidemic always mutate to less severe variants (lower IFR) with sometimes higher infection rates (higher R). Because the patient doesn't recognize it as such, and therefore it can spread more. The mutations loose critical parts all over.
Damaging is the only the reemergence of the cold weather, people staying inside.