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Re:Electoral College Decision Tree by kenjackson on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:09PM (#24870977)
> It does not address the possibility that there are systematic methodological shortcomings in the polls.

I think 538 does take this into account in terms of the uncertainty, which plays into their probabilities. I know they certainly talk about this.

Re:Electoral College Decision Tree by rhino369 on Friday October 23, 2020 @04:48PM (#24873976)
They definitely try to. Whether they accurately model the risk is anyone's guess.