It’s obvious that some people are. It’s not obvious that it’s all that is going on. It’s also not obvious exactly what they are scared of.

For example, by all accounts Lukashenko is backed by Putin. It could be that people are less scared of the police, and more scared of what could happen if they overthrow Lukashenko, and Putin sends in little green men to restore order.

That’s just one example of what people might be considering. I’m guessing there are also a bunch of people who simply don’t have a clear idea of exactly what’s going on.

Sorry your guesses are BS. People are afraid of police brutality and being oppressed.