Predicting Football Results with Statistical Modelling

Re:Predicting Football Results with Statistical Modelling by sammyjoe72 on Tuesday October 20, 2020 @03:32PM (#24841464)

Remember, no one wins at gambling by picking winners, you need to look for value and find where the bookmakers have miss-priced a team in a match.

Then you have to deal with all the corrupt behaviours the sports internet bookies will deploy to limit their exposure to you, which is the other reason why you won’t win.

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Re:Predicting Football Results with Statistical Modelling by sushshshsh on Tuesday October 20, 2020 @03:43PM (#24841584)

time for a cryptographically secure and open betting platform that probably already exists but nobody is using!

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Re:Predicting Football Results with Statistical Modelling by hogFeast on Tuesday October 20, 2020 @04:27PM (#24842030)

Professionals don't use retail bookies, they bet with Asian books who take action from sharps (Pinny, SBOBet, SingBet, IBC...although it varies, sometimes their lines are soft).

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Re:Predicting Football Results with Statistical Modelling by disown on Tuesday October 20, 2020 @08:18PM (#24843684)

> Remember, no one wins at gambling by picking winners, you need to look for value and find where the bookmakers have miss-priced a team in a match.

No. You win by being the bookie or better yet, by not gambling. Sports betting is worse than a zero sum game because you gotta pay the bookie too. I'm betting that 99.99999% of everyone who bets on sports loses money.

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