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A comment on Monitoring a high risk conjunction between two large defunct objects in LEO. Parent comment

Re:Monitoring a high risk conjunction between two large defu... by dmurray on Wednesday October 14, 2020 @05:55AM (#24774901)
> Also, the collision will be off-center and, eyeballing the orbital diagrams, some 15 degrees shy of being head-on.

How can we tell it will be off-centre if there's enough uncertainty in the orbital prediction that they are only "1% to 20%" to collide at all?

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Re:Monitoring a high risk conjunction between two large defu... by TeMPOraL on Wednesday October 14, 2020 @06:10AM (#24774990)
Because if there's 1% to 20% chance they'll collide at all, then the chance they'll collide centrally is even smaller.
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