Re:Vilified early over Covid-19 strategy, Sweden seems to ha...
by pvaldes on Wednesday September 30, 2020 @05:22PM
(#24644034)
> Flattening the curve does not reduce the area under the curve, it just spreads it out over time to prevent the hospitals from being overloaded.
In fact, Yes it does. Flattening the curve means that less people die because hospitals are unable to deal with a sudden flood of cases in a narrow period of time.
Moreover, as doctors have more time to focus into figthing against covid damage instead to give priority to just keep as many people alive as possible, sequels are also less serious
Less people died means that area under the curve represents a lower value now. The problem is that the common people are not always familiar with statistics. Both curves have a total area of 100 of course but this is a percent from a value. Not the value on itself. 50% of 10 is not the same as 50% of 3000.
> most of the deaths would have happened anyway
But not all of those, and this is a big difference
In fact, Yes it does. Flattening the curve means that less people die because hospitals are unable to deal with a sudden flood of cases in a narrow period of time.
Moreover, as doctors have more time to focus into figthing against covid damage instead to give priority to just keep as many people alive as possible, sequels are also less serious
Less people died means that area under the curve represents a lower value now. The problem is that the common people are not always familiar with statistics. Both curves have a total area of 100 of course but this is a percent from a value. Not the value on itself. 50% of 10 is not the same as 50% of 3000.
> most of the deaths would have happened anyway
But not all of those, and this is a big difference