Re:Phosphine detected in the atmosphere of Venus – an indica...
by Jweb_Guru on Monday September 14, 2020 @02:34PM
(#24473482)
> It would indicate that, but it's also somewhat expected if we're around to make that observation, which tempers how much information we can take away from it.
Life could have arisen on Earth much later than it did and we could still have been around to see it (or if not us, something like us) so the anthropic principle doesn't apply here. The fact that it arose so early is meaningful.
Re:Phosphine detected in the atmosphere of Venus – an indica...
by eloff on Monday September 14, 2020 @05:20PM
(#24475283)
It is, but it's also sample size of 1. So yes, it indicates something but the confidence interval is really wide. Still, like you point out it's not meaningless as some people do try to argue.
Re:Phosphine detected in the atmosphere of Venus – an indica...
by baja_blast on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @05:36PM
(#24486995)
If you take a bayesian approach to the problem it's far more likely that abiogenesis is common. This youtube video does a great job of explaining it: https://youtu.be/iLbbpRYRW5Y
However, happening on two adjacent planets would really affect our estimations of the likelihood of abiogenesis.