Re:Sweden’s low positive test rate ‘vindicates coronavirus s...
by elcritch on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @07:39PM
(#24427256)
Oops, my bad, I misread your comment. I still agree with your point that it’s too early to draw complete cross comparisons. While also that it appears that Sweden has hit a saturation point. Other countries in Europe will take a while before things stabilize. Even then, there could be more outbreaks in either Sweden or other Western European countries so it’ll be a while yet before it’s really time to draw final conclusions. It’ll be years before we get truly thorough conclusions.
Also good to know the average numbers. I think even at about a hundred thousand yearly my point holds. It’s high enough that many wouldn’t agree too.
To be clear: I said no such thing. I think it's far to early to evaluate that. Currently things in sweden look pretty good IMO, but "currently" and "pretty good" can shift radically and fast.
> that normally has a couple hundred thousand die every year
Seems like the normal deaths per year are around 95000.
My point is mostly that I think it will take at least a year for us to get stats that are comparable between countries since different countries track it differently and have different efficiency/centralization of tracking. What will be even harder will be to track secondary and societal effects of both the virus itself and the measures taken to prevent spread, which will probably have a ongoing effect for many years.