Native apps are still more pleasant and performant enough that they make users happier than mobile web apps and PWAs. Web apps have become better, so native apps are not mandatory to achieve acceptable levels of performance, but at the same time, the cost of developing and releasing a good native app has fallen, so the utility of native relative to incrementally improving a mobile web app is still quite good.

Developers may not like that this is the case, but I expect users will like being provided a better experience for some time, and that we’re likely to see companies develop natively for new platforms faster than native apps for mature devices will be folded.