Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by fullshark on Saturday August 22, 2020 @10:38AM
(#24244421)
I was very unimpressed with his democratic primary model, which he basically fine tuned every week when new data came in in order to get a result that was closer to his own preconceptions of the race.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by glial on Monday August 24, 2020 @08:29AM
(#24259938)
> fine tuned every week when new data came in
Yeah, that’s what you’re supposed to do - use new evidence to update your beliefs.
Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by fullshark on Monday August 24, 2020 @04:55PM
(#24265409)
I don't mean he allowed the model to update from new results, I mean the model would update, he'd be unhappy by its results so he'd change it so the outcome reflected his own biases. If you do that you produce a bunch of mathematical rationalizations for probability distributions that you invented from scratch.