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Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020 by ghaff on Saturday August 22, 2020 @09:00AM (#24243835)
538 has actually written about calibrating past forecasts. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020 by throwaway2245 on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:48PM (#24264701)
Their calibration is good in the context of this article, but there is a reason this article doesn't use their Presidential election model - there isn't enough data to do this calibration here.