Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by TeMPOraL on Thursday August 20, 2020 @01:27AM (#24220187)

> And how long are you expecting people to avoid the more risky activities? What are the exit criteria?

There are some obvious ones, like: no new cases in the city/county reported in 14 days.

For some reason, it seems people thought this would take a month or two, and then everything will be back to normal. But it wouldn't. Two months is a ramp-up period, a default if you do nothing. "Flattening the curve" measures were always going to extend the partial lockdowns until late this year. We knew that in March.

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Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by nradov on Thursday August 20, 2020 @01:44AM (#24220271)

That is a ridiculous standard, totally unachievable in any populous region. It's simple numbers. There are 10M people in Los Angeles county alone and we will never see zero new cases there per 14 days in our lifetimes no matter what we do. So what are exit criteria that would actually be possible in the real world?

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