Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition
by achenatx on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @06:49PM
(#24217757)
there is also the probability of transmission. People living together in the same home is about a 20% chance of transmission. Casual contact( sitting nearby) is estimated to be about .7%
The total probability of hospitalization per contact is
so it is probably something like 1% * .7% * 3% per contact. So your probability of getting hospitalized is quite low per contact.
I personally have a bike trainer and a power cage at home. The one thing I absolutely miss is brazilian jiu jitsu. I see posts from the various gyms that are basically operating in full.
The total probability of hospitalization per contact is
prevalence * transmission rate * hospitalization rate
so it is probably something like 1% * .7% * 3% per contact. So your probability of getting hospitalized is quite low per contact.
I personally have a bike trainer and a power cage at home. The one thing I absolutely miss is brazilian jiu jitsu. I see posts from the various gyms that are basically operating in full.