News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by mensetmanusman on Friday August 14, 2020 @08:39PM (#24164903)
Nope, even with 100% lockdown, it still spreads because we aren’t an island country. It even got to Auckland now, through freight! You can only delay the inevitable (unless a vaccine is developed in the next few months)
Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by darkwizard42 on Saturday August 15, 2020 @02:29AM (#24166520)
Yeah you aren't trying to get it to 0% rate... you are trying to reduce it to a traceable and manageable amount...

Kind of missing the point of what it means to "get it under control"

Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by monadic2 on Saturday August 15, 2020 @12:11PM (#24169915)
0% sounds pretty good to me....
Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by jmull on Saturday August 15, 2020 @09:30AM (#24168717)
This isn’t a binary thing: spread or no spread.

You will have spread no matter what you do. The question is how much.

If prevalence of the virus is high, then the risk of spread is higher. At a high level of prevalence any systematically repeating and mixing groupings of people (such as school) is pretty much guaranteed to lead to an outbreak, which will stop or at least seriously disrupt and hinder that system (not to mention the sick and dead people from the outbreak).

At a low level or prevalence outbreaks will still occur, but only here and there. Some schools will have outbreaks and have to stop, but most will be able to keep going.

Widely available tests with fast turnaround is also part of this because it allows outbreaks to be detected earlier, when they are much smaller, which limits the disruption each outbreak causes (not to mention the deaths and sickness).

The point of all this is to have most of our normal activities and economy until a safe and effective vaccine is widely available.

Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by dehrmann on Saturday August 15, 2020 @03:51PM (#24171794)
> through freight

Did they confirm this? I could also see issues with someone asymptomatic who was quarantined, but was at the 99th percentile for incubation period. With an R0 near 1, with enough people, you could miss the virus for even a few months.

It's really hard to contain, and NZ will likely be dealing with case like this on and off until there's a vaccine.

Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t... by tikwidd on Saturday August 15, 2020 @07:08AM (#24168004)
We don't know that it was from freight. In fact, it is still considered highly unlikely that it came in via freight.

Read about 'flattening the curve'.