Re:Stanford cancels plans to bring half of undergrads back t...
by Balgair on Friday August 14, 2020 @05:29PM
(#24163527)
The numbers, though very few, seem to fit an exponential well, at least thus far.
If you plot and fit the curve to such an exponential, today you should have ~15 cases. Tomorrow ~25 cases. In one week's time, ~380 cases. ND has ~8600 people attending. To get that many cases should be 14 days from today [0], so August 28th.
If these trends continue as is, then ND won't make it to September before closing down.
Still, the data is sparse.
[0] Day 20 is ~6000 cases, day 21 is ~9400 cases, you can round however you'd like.
If you plot and fit the curve to such an exponential, today you should have ~15 cases. Tomorrow ~25 cases. In one week's time, ~380 cases. ND has ~8600 people attending. To get that many cases should be 14 days from today [0], so August 28th.
If these trends continue as is, then ND won't make it to September before closing down.
Still, the data is sparse.
[0] Day 20 is ~6000 cases, day 21 is ~9400 cases, you can round however you'd like.