Re:Norway advises citizens to avoid all travel abroad
by irq11 on Saturday August 08, 2020 @11:10PM
(#24096965)
That’s just ridiculously, inexcusably wrong. The best estimates have been under 0.7% since March. The CDC current estimate is 0.65%:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
Re:Norway advises citizens to avoid all travel abroad
by iso1210 on Sunday August 09, 2020 @11:23AM
(#24100159)
So the CDC say 0.7% as the best estimate, above even your highest 0.6% statement.
Until recently Cambridge had 0.9%, this has increased recently as more evidence has come out. Taking a 0.7% value would mean that 40% of Brooklyn has had it, a figure not backed by serological tests. Even is 100% of Brooklyn had has covid, that would give and IFR of nearly 0.3%
Do you have a good citation for this, because the Biostatics research university at Cambridge have IFR 10 times that.
https://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/now-casting/