Re:Howland Will Forgery Trial
by supernova87a on Saturday August 01, 2020 @06:42PM
(#24024542)
It must be supremely frustrating to a quantitative person when the statistics meet reality: a jury that says, "well, there's still a possibility he didn't do it, isn't there? You want to have us convict someone on math?"
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The standards in question are preponderance of the evidence (civil) and beyond a reasonable doubt (criminal). The standard is never "any possible way" or "no possible way."
So my response would be that at a certain point, a tiny possibility does not amount to reasonable doubt.
Re:Howland Will Forgery Trial
by supernova87a on Saturday August 01, 2020 @09:18PM
(#24025479)
Many people, especially when you have average people on a jury, are not very good at drawing lines where the certain % or probability equals less than a reasonable doubt.