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Re:ByteDance investors value TikTok at $50B in takeover bid by zippy5 on Wednesday July 29, 2020 @10:41AM (#23987161)
There’s no way they could generate similar revenue per user. Revenue per user depends on much advertisers are willing to pay and there are a couple of differences: 1) Targeting: Instagram has exceptional ad targeting because it utilizes facebook’s existing data which TikTok tool doesn’t have.

2) Online spending: In theory wealthier countries / demographics should have higher online spending. May also have correlations with gender, age, employment status, number of digital devices, delivery infrastructure, etc.

3) Advertiser relationships: the real customers have to want to put their stuff next to your content.

4) Political risk: if many countries ban it, it’ll lose access to a lot of high value markets.

Lastly, profitability doesn’t always come later particularly for high bandwidth applications. Personally I’ve been getting a higher number of ads from YouTube but they are exceptionally poorly targeted (I skip at-least 90%). I would expect google to have as much data as anyone. The only explanation I have is that it’s simply too expensive to produce video ads to have an efficient targeted ad market.

Re:ByteDance investors value TikTok at $50B in takeover bid by askafriend on Wednesday July 29, 2020 @01:37PM (#23989476)
> There’s no way they could generate similar revenue per user.

I'll take the opposite side of this bet any time.

TikTok will become a juggernaut on par with Instagram and perhaps even surpassing it.