Are we in an AI Overhang?

Re:Are we in an AI Overhang? by riffraff on Monday July 27, 2020 @11:33AM (#23966071)

for those interested, the equation for estimating if a CT would last was published by a Dr. Grimes in 2016[0], it's pretty interesting :)

[0] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...

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Re:Are we in an AI Overhang? by ColanR on Monday July 27, 2020 @02:52PM (#23968160)

I would love to see a follow up to that. From what I recall, the PRISM program they used in that study wasn't the only one of its kind, and anything from the 80s or earlier wasn't included. They also didn't make mention of any of the CIA's old projects from the 70s / 80s that get declassified every few years. I wonder how much those would skew the results.

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Re:Are we in an AI Overhang? by nimih on Monday July 27, 2020 @09:02PM (#23971197)

The paper is definitely a worthwhile read; it would be a fun exercise to go through other historical examples of whistleblowing and unmasked conspiracies (e.g. the panama papers, Chelsea Manning's wikileaks disclosures, MKUltra, &c) and see how well the authors' parameter estimates hold up.

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Re:Are we in an AI Overhang? by gld773 on Monday July 27, 2020 @03:37PM (#23968610)

and no mention of the manhatten project at all? , we built secret cities for that

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